California's Financial Crisis
The new
normal as coined in the media, is said to represent where we are going,
what exactly that will look like and when will we get there. Last night as I
attended an event held at the Milken Institute which focused on California’s
financial crisis, the "new normal" weighed heavily on my mind. The event
featured an esteemed group of panelist, including Inspector Laura Chick,
Controller John Chiang and three well respected economists.
During
the course of the evening we were exposed to daunting statistics: the situation
is four times worse than the worst forecast, California has not been net cash
flow positive since July 12, 2007, California will be in the red by July and we
will need to borrow an estimated $20 billion by next March.
As has
become commonplace with all commentary, the now well-known axiomatic list of
reasons we are facing this dilemma was recited: expensive spending without
discipline, believing the housing market was going to continuously increase,
the amount of leverage (both private and public) and the ease and availability
of cheap borrowed money to fill the gaps. Unique to California was a few added
comments regarding terms limits, the careful crafting of the districts to
protect interest and the dispute over local control of tax revenues. And of
course the word “greed” had to be thrown around a few times.
So what
now, I asked myself as I left the event with a heavy heart and mind. My answer,
life will go on and people will find their way. Perhaps not to their preference
or satisfaction but similar to the Great Depression, people will continue to
live their lives, assets will be bought and lost, relationships will begin and
end, babies will be born into the world with innocence hopes for a better
tomorrow and people will strive for a better life.
The
economist Larry Harris said it best when he noted that true wealth has not
disappeared, our machines, houses, people and ideas still exist. It is the
people and their ideas that create wealth and what will be the basis for the
prosperity to come.
I also
prescribe to this philosophy believing that innovation, invention and
entrepreneurship is our foundation and will be our future. With that—I will
spend the day thinking about what I can invent and hope that in the midst of
all this bad news, you will too. It is our only hope.



I love the fact that you got the actual results from this recession from somewhere other than the news media. I think it's fascinating how bad it is. I know how bad it is because there are no jobs for my company. I have to sacrifice my well-being to not lay guys off. It's pretty sad that there are some people who actually think the recession is over.
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